UK economy back at pre-crisis level
The UK economy has returned to pre-crisis levels by expanding 0.8% in the second quarter of this year.
On an annual basis gross domestic product (GDP) expanded by 3.1%.
The figures show the economy is now worth 0.2% more than it was at its peak in 2008, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) said.
The service sector is the only part of the economy that has
passed its previous 2008 peak, although that accounts for almost 80% of
UK output.
Other key sectors, including construction, industrial production and manufacturing, have yet to outstrip levels reached in 2008.
The UK economy is forecast to be the fastest growing among
the G7 developed nations, according to the International Monetary Fund
(IMF).
On Thursday, the IMF predicted the UK would expand by 3.2% this year, up from a previous forecast of 2.8%.
Productivity
Chancellor George Osborne said: "Thanks to the hard work of
the British people, today we reach a major milestone in our long-term
economic plan."
But shadow chancellor, Ed Balls, said people were not feeling
happier: "With GDP per head not set to recover for three more years and
[with] most people still seeing their living standards squeezed this is
no time for complacent claims that the economy is fixed."
Analysis: Anthony Reuben, BBC head of statistics
Let's take a pinch of salt with these figures.
First of all, this is the preliminary estimate, so it's an
educated guess based on about 40% of the economic activity that will go
into later estimates.
But also, in two months the ONS will revise these figures for a once-in-15-years change to the methodology.
It will change the treatment in the GDP figures of things
like spending on research and development by companies and the
government buying weapons.
So the trend is almost certainly right - we can say that
there was considerable growth in the economy in the second quarter - but
0.8% is unlikely to be the eventual figure.
And it may turn out that we have not yet reached the 2008 peak, or indeed that we did so a while ago.
0 comments:
Post a Comment