Opinion: Europe must increase sanctions on Russia
By Former U.S. ambassador to Ukraine William Taylor and Sanctions expert George Lopez, Special to CNN
William Taylor served as the U.S.
ambassador to Ukraine from 2006-2009 and is currently the vice president
for Middle East and Africa at the United States Institute of Peace.
Dr. George Lopez, a sanctions expert, is the vice president of the Academy for International Conflict Management and Peacebuilding at USIP. The views expressed here are their own.
Dr. George Lopez, a sanctions expert, is the vice president of the Academy for International Conflict Management and Peacebuilding at USIP. The views expressed here are their own.
(CNN) -- With their invasion of Crimea and their
support for the violent -- and now murderous -- pro-Russian separatists
in eastern Ukraine, the Russian government has grossly and blatantly
violated international law, international treaties and international
norms that have underpinned post-World War II and post- Cold War Europe.
In response, the United
States quickly imposed travel bans and asset freezes on Russians and
Ukrainian separatists; the European Union followed suit.
These targeted sanctions have demonstrated that the Americans and Europeans can act together.
Despite hitting the
financial sector of the Russian economy hard, the sanctions have not yet
deterred the Russian government from continued support of the
separatists.
This support has now resulted in the deaths of nearly 300 civilians on board Malaysian Airlines Flight 17.
This tragedy poses a
significant policy choice to European leaders: to fully implement
sanctions adopted at their most recent meeting, such as suspension of
some European Investment Bank activities in Russia, and then to adopt
and implement their 'Phase 3' of tougher measures in the energy and
banking sectors.
The day before the airliner was shot down, the U.S. imposed more punishing sanctions on major Russian banks, Russian oil and gas giants and Russian defense firms.
These now take on added meaning and leverage against Russian President Putin.
However, the Europeans have been reluctant to take these stronger measures.
Europe does more trade with Russian firms, depends on Russian natural gas and sells into Russian markets.
They have tried to look away from the Russian-sponsored turmoil in Ukraine, hoping their economic interests can be spared.
That is no longer a viable policy option. If Russia is to be moved to change course, coordinated intensification is needed.
France has been the
prime example of European protectionism. The Russians are set to
purchase two helicopter aircraft carriers from the French for about $1.6
billion.
President Francois
Hollande said on Monday France will go ahead with the sale of the first
of these two ships, although he said the delivery of the second carrier
would depend on Moscow's attitude.
These Mistral-class
warships are equipped with six helicopter landing zones, can carry 30
helicopters, 40 tanks and 500 marines. They are very capable weapons of
mobile war.
No nation should be
equipping Russian military forces in light of their newly demonstrated
willingness to invade friendly nations.
Robert O'Brien has
suggested an innovative approach: let the French provide these two ships
to the US Navy in return for a 20 percent reduction in the $9 billion
fine assessed by the U.S. authorities on the French bank BNP Paribas for
violating US sanctions on Iran.
The British have been
reluctant to impose financial sanctions on Russia out of concern for
London as a hub for Russian investors moving their money abroad.
The Germans have been unusually close to the Russians based on historical connections and natural gas dependency. The Dutch have been especially sensitive to Russian influence. All this has now changed with the downing of flight MH17.
British and German
statements in the past two days reflect a growing possibility for more
strict measures. The Dutch have angrily condemned the Russian
government's clear support for the murderous thugs in eastern Ukraine in
the strongest terms.
In addition to outrage,
European leaders should escalate sanctions, just as private European
interests are already joining this embargo for business reasons. Europe's statement on Tuesday was welcome but must be followed with strong action.
In June both HBSC and
Lloyds Banking Group withdrew a significant loan to Russia's largest oil
producer Rosneft due to the uncertain economic climate.
And most data suggest the sanctions are having an increased impact.
Commodities sales from
Russia are at unprecedented lows and Russian companies have no longer
been able to extend the duration of loans held or cut their debt costs
in a deteriorating climate.
Economic sanctions can work. We have seen their effect on Iran.
The international
community united to impose harsh economic sanctions on Iranian oil
exports, banking system and economic activity. As a result, the Iranians
are now negotiating seriously in an attempt to lift these sanctions in
return for assurances that their nuclear program is entirely peaceful.
Unified sanctions by the
U.S. and Europe can give Putin two choices: double down on his support
for the separatists in eastern Ukraine and face yet more sanctions and
possible full scale isolation from the international community; or
disavow these separatists and seal the Russian border so that further
weapons, trainers, finance, security forces and volunteers can no longer
flow into Ukraine.
But the latter,
preferred choice will not come unless the European leaders act now to
implement recent measures they have authorized and move to the 'Phase 3'
sanctions they have available to them.
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